Why are prices going up when all signs suggest they should be coming down?Â
Despite the threat of Tariffs from the US, lower consumer confidence, and political uncertainty, Kelownaâs real estate market is showing surprising strengthâespecially as we head into the spring season. If youâve been sitting on the sidelines waiting for prices to crash, you might want to take a second look. Letâs break down whatâs really happening and what it means for youâwhether you're buying or selling.
đ Want a quick overview instead? Watch the attached video where I walk through the latest numbers and what they mean for buyers and sellers.
đ Home Prices: Still Climbing
Single Family Homes:
- Benchmark price in March: $1,046,800
- Up 1% month-over-month
- Up 5.4% from last year
- Still down 11% from the 2022 peak, but prices have been steadily climbing since December 2023
đď¸ Townhomes: Bouncing Back, But Volatile
- March benchmark: $750,600
- Up 2.8% month-over-month
- Up 2% year-over-year
- Still down about $90,000 from the 2022 peak
Prices have generally trended upward over the past six months, but this segment remains unpredictable month to month.đ˘ Condos: Small Dip, But Big Picture is Strong
- March benchmark: $504,500
- Down 1.7% from February
- Still up 4.2% compared to last year
- Off about $40â50K from 2022 peak
Like townhomes, condo prices are a bit jumpy, but the 10-year trend shows prices have doubled.đ Whatâs Driving the Numbers?
1. More Listings, But Not All Are âRealâ InventoryThere are over 3,000 listings on the market, up 18% from last year. But not every home is truly for sale, or "salealble", as some sellers are listing speculatively, without realistic pricing expectations. Buyers know it.
2. Serious Sellers = Serious SalesHomes priced appropriately for todayâs market are still selling quickly, sometimes in multiple offers and even above asking.
For example:
- 2-bed condo in Kelowna North: Listed at $439,000, recently sold for $442,000 in 20 days
- 4-bed family home on Dilworth Mountain: recently sold for $500 over asking in just 17 days
- Single family homes: 97.7%
- Townhomes: 97.8%
- Condos: 97.3%
đŚ Inventory Levels: Still a Buyerâs Market⌠Technically
- Single family homes: 9.1 months of inventory
- Townhomes: 6.9 months
- Condos: 8.7 months
These numbers suggest weâre in a buyerâs marketâbut prices arenât falling. Why? Because well-priced homes are scarce, in demand and are the ones selling, setting the market.đĄ Key Takeaways
đ For Sellers: Price realistically or risk sitting on the sidelines. The days of overpricing and hoping for a windfall are behind us. Buyers are too savvy.
đ For Buyers: Youâve got options, but donât wait too long on the good ones. If a property is well-priced and checks your boxes, move quickly.
As we move further into the busier spring, expect continued price growth, especially for single family homes.
Whether youâre buying or selling this spring, letâs create a strategy that works for you. Iâm here to guide you every step of the way.
Letâs chat about your next moveâbook a call with me today.